The feature Good Luck Hollie In Spoty Silver Handicap Chase (Ascot 15:00) revolves around The Conditional reproducing his fine effort last time out in the Ladbrokes Trophy – a race in which he travelled supremely well.
It will be hard to keep him out of the frame for Saturday, but at a bigger price, 11/2 shot Quarenta looks the bet.
The eight-year-old used to be something of a quirky customer, but he has turned the corner judged on a victory over course and distance last time where it seemed he had finally go his act together over fences. That was his first outing of the season in soft conditions, so he should improve again despite the 5lb rise in the weights.
He likes soft ground, and he will certainly get that on Saturday. It could be a case of him outstaying his rivals as the ground has the potential to be bottomless.
Time to back Thyme for further staying glory
Let’s rewind back to the Long Walk Hurdle (Ascot 14:25) for our next bet, and while it’s great to see some old champions back with The Worlds End and Thistlecrack, there’s a new staying star potentially in town in the shape of Thyme Hill.
His victory in the Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury recently had a bit of everything with the way he travelled and stayed at the end. He also displayed plenty of class in what looked a strong edition.
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His trainer Philip Hobbs hasn’t handled too many 3m+ top drawer hurdlers in his time, but he could be the real deal, and is likely to improve from the Newbury run according to his trainer.
While he is prominent in the betting at 15/8 on the Betfair Sportsbook, he looks by the far the most likely winner.
Moore could be merrier with Muddle success
Elsewhere on the card, in-form trainer Gary Moore is double-handed with Early Du Lemo and Not Another Muddle, and it could the turn for the latter to pop up at 9/1 in the Ascot 13:50.
He’s always had plenty of ability but perhaps hasn’t been the heartiest in a battle. But he has only raced over fences on seven occasions and has won three times. That’s a decent strike-rate.
Soft conditions suit him and when he gets it right (or if in the mood) he can travel well.
His last outing was at the Cheltenham festival and a lot has changed since then, but he goes well fresh and looks an each-way price.