Trump vs. Biden: Who’s Winning the Money Race in Your ZIP Code?



Estimated donors by ZIP code,
April through June


Trump

1.2 millionestimated donors

Biden

1.6 millionestimated donors



MORE TRUMP DONORS MORE BIDEN DONORS

Source: Federal Election Commission | Notes: The map shows which candidate had more individual donors in each ZIP code from April 1, 2020, to June 30, 2020. ZIP codes with fewer than 10 total donors are excluded.

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. had roughly 400,000 more individual donors than President Trump in the last three months, the latest evidence of Mr. Biden’s newfound financial strength, according to a New York Times analysis of Federal Election Commission data.

The estimated donor numbers offer another sign of the nation’s political divisions. From April through June, Mr. Biden had more donors than Mr. Trump in 26 states, including key battlegrounds like Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Mr. Trump led in 24, including critical states like Florida and Arizona.

Mr. Biden attracted more donors in urban areas and on the coasts, while Mr. Trump had the advantage in rural areas around the country.

The most recent fund-raising quarter unfolded as Democratic donors turned their focus to the general election, pouring money into Mr. Biden’s campaign and significantly narrowing the cash lead Mr. Trump had built by courting donors for his re-election bid since taking office in 2017.

Mr. Biden’s best ZIP code, in terms of the sheer number of donors, covers part of the Upper West Side of Manhattan. In fact, three of his four best ZIP codes were on the Upper West Side. The other was in Washington, D.C. Parts of Brooklyn were also among Mr. Biden’s strongest places, as were other neighborhoods in Manhattan and Washington.

Mr. Trump’s best ZIP code encompasses much of The Villages, a retirement community in Central Florida. Other strong areas for Mr. Trump included parts of the Houston, Phoenix and Las Vegas suburbs, as well as Orange County in California.

This is the first time such detailed donor data has been available for a head-to-head comparison of the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates in a general election.

This analysis, covering the second quarter of 2020, is based on fund-raising records disclosed recently by the campaigns and by WinRed and ActBlue, online fund-raising platforms that process donations for Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden, respectively.

Who’s leading in five key battlegrounds

Heading into 2020, Mr. Biden lagged behind three of his Democratic primary rivals in amassing donors, but as his party’s presumptive nominee, he has raked in cash. Mr. Trump, unlike many Republican candidates, has proved to be a magnet for small-dollar donations, and his campaign has invested heavily in prospecting for donors.

Here’s a look at five important battleground states, all of which Mr. Trump carried in 2016.


Pennsylvania


Trump

45,000estimated donors

Biden

66,000estimated donors



In Pennsylvania, Mr. Biden was dominant in attracting donors not just in deep-blue Philadelphia, but also in its suburbs, where Democrats thrived in the 2018 midterm elections. He can also claim bragging rights in one particularly meaningful place: the ZIP code in Scranton of his childhood home.

In this map and others, college towns stand out. The dot of blue in central Pennsylvania is State College, home to Penn State.

Mr. Trump had the edge in many less populous areas across the state.


Florida


Trump

117,000estimated donors

Biden

102,000estimated donors



Mr. Trump’s expansive donor base is particularly evident in Florida. He drew far more donors than Mr. Biden across much of the Panhandle, a conservative part of the state where Mr. Trump won by large margins in 2016. He was also strong in many other places, including southwest Florida and the northeastern part of the state, the region that had been scheduled to host next month’s Republican National Convention in Jacksonville. (Mr. Trump said Thursday that he was canceling the Jacksonville portion of the convention.)

Mr. Biden was stronger in many parts of southeast Florida, a liberal, densely populated region, although Mr. Trump had slightly more donors in one place where he is particularly fond of spending time: the ZIP code that contains Mar-a-Lago.


Wisconsin


Trump

17,000estimated donors

Biden

21,000estimated donors



Wisconsin shows a similar pattern to other Rust Belt states: strength for Mr. Biden in cities like Madison and Milwaukee, where a scaled-down Democratic National Convention will be held next month, but more donors for Mr. Trump in many other places. And Mr. Biden attracted donors in other college towns, like Eau Claire, La Crosse and Stevens Point.

Mr. Trump was ahead of Mr. Biden in suburban areas west of Milwaukee, traditionally a Republican stronghold.


Arizona


Trump

41,000estimated donors

Biden

33,000estimated donors



Though Mr. Biden had pockets of strength in cities like Phoenix and Tucson, many areas in Arizona were particularly Trump-friendly.

Two ZIP codes in the Phoenix suburbs were among Mr. Trump’s best in the country in terms of the total number of donors. The president far outpaced Mr. Biden in parts of western Arizona, including the place where a festival called Trumpstock took place last year.


North Carolina


Trump

36,000estimated donors

Biden

46,000estimated donors



The same general split between urban and rural areas held true in North Carolina, with Mr. Biden showing strength in cities like Charlotte and Greensboro. He drew a particularly large number of donors in the area known as the Research Triangle, which includes Raleigh, Durham and Chapel Hill.

Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden in many less populous places. An especially strong area for Mr. Trump was along Lake Norman, where one of his golf clubs is. A boat parade was recently held on the lake in his support.

A state-by-state breakdown

California, the nation’s most populous state, was also home to the largest number of donors for each candidate — roughly 260,000 for Mr. Biden and 140,000 for Mr. Trump. The president had more donors than Mr. Biden in Texas and Florida, while Mr. Biden had more in New York.

By one measure, Mr. Biden was strongest in Washington, D.C., where he had roughly 20 donors for each person who gave to Mr. Trump. Vermont was next, followed by Massachusetts, with more than three Biden donors for every Trump donor in both states. Mr. Biden had at least twice as many donors as Mr. Trump in Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, New York and Rhode Island.

Of the six states that flipped from blue to red in the 2016 election, Mr. Biden led in five of them — Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — while Mr. Trump was ahead in Florida.


Where Biden had more estimated donors

Notes: The estimated number of donors is rounded and for April through June. The difference in estimated donors between the two candidates is calculated based on the rounded numbers.

Mr. Trump had the biggest relative advantage in Mississippi, with more than twice as many donors as Mr. Biden. Mr. Trump had at least 1.5 times as many donors as Mr. Biden in Alabama, Louisiana, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Dakota and Wyoming.


Where Trump had more estimated donors

Notes: The estimated number of donors is rounded and for April through June. The difference in estimated donors between the two candidates is calculated based on the rounded numbers.

source.



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